Climate Risk Modelling

We assess physical and transition climate risks at an asset or portfolio level, helping you make informed decisions today and build resilience for the future.

Quantitative Climate Risk Modelling

What if you could predict how your profit holds up under any climate? To make confident investment decisions and protect your bottom line, you need to test your business against different versions of the future. Acumentis provides the quantitative climate resilience modelling and scenario insights you need to meet Australian standards and safeguard your growth.

What is Climate Risk Modelling?

Climate scenario analysis and resilience modelling are a structured "what-if" exercise for your business. We look at how your business impacts the environment and, more importantly, how climate risks impact your assets and business operations. This process tests whether your strategy remains resilient under very different climate futures.

Scenario Testing
We run your business through different warming paths to see where it stands.

Impact Assessment
We quantify how these futures affect your supply chain, assets, operations, and cash flow.

Strategy Integration
We help you adjust your governance and investment plans based on these findings.

Why ASRS Compliance in Australia Matters

Testing climate scenarios is now a requirement under mandatory Australian climate reporting rules. We help you meet ASRS standards by testing your business against 1.5°C and 3°C warming paths. We also add a third path tailored to your specific market. This identifies risks before they impact your business. Testing these scenarios helps you identify physical and transition risks before they hit your balance sheet. It builds investor confidence and ensures you aren't caught off guard by policy shifts or extreme weather events.

Our Risk Modelling Services

We support you through the full scenario analysis journey, simplifying complex technical processes into simple, actionable insights.

Regulatory-Aligned Scenario Modelling

Our process includes assessing the 1.5°C and ≥3°C paths required for mandatory reporting. We also build a custom third scenario that reflects your unique sector risks. This ensures your disclosures are robust and satisfy the latest Australian standards.

Identification of Material Risks

We pinpoint your most material physical and transition risks. We evaluate direct physical threats like heatwaves and flooding along with transition risks like carbon pricing and new regulations. This quantitative climate resilience modelling uncovers hidden threats and identifies emerging low-carbon opportunities.

Climate Data Analytics via Acumentis Shield

We use Asset Shield, our specialist physical hazards platform, to provide deep data analytics. This allows us to map climate hazards to your specific assets with technical precision. It gives you a verified evidence trail for your risk assessments and strategy.

Financial Impact Modelling

We turn climate scenarios into financial facts. We assess how each warming path affects your operations, supply chain, and financial performance. We integrate these findings into your investment strategies to protect your cash flow and asset valuations.

Clear and Compliant Disclosures

We help you produce transparent disclosures that outline your assumptions, methods, and strategic implications. Our work aligns with ISSB, IFRS S2, and TCFD guidance. This ensures your reporting is ready for the shift from voluntary to regulated standards.

The Benefits of a Resilience Strategy

A proactive approach to modelling does more than just tick a compliance box. It creates a competitive advantage that shows up in your risk management and capital access.

Better Investment Decisions
Use data to decide which assets to keep, sell, or harden.

Asset Protection
Identify vulnerabilities early to safeguard your physical wealth and EBITDA.

Investor Confidence
Provide clear evidence that your business is prepared for a changing environment.

Improved Risk Management
Move from reacting to events to predicting their impact on your bottom line.

Our People

Your Climate Risk Modelling Experts

Contact one of our ASRS Climate Risk Modelling specialists to discuss how we can support your climate reporting needs.

Simon Altschwager

Carbon Farming & Natural Capital Specialist
Read Bio

Joe Stansfield

Director - Commercial Valuations, Systems & Sustainability
Read Bio

Neha Sen

Group Executive Director – Marketing, Experience & Innovation
Read Bio

Madeleine Hillsley

National Customer Experience Advisor
Read Bio
Acumentis ESG

Start Your Climate Risk Modelling Today

Acumentis bridges the gap between complex rules and your actual asset data. We'll work with you to simplify the process and build your team's skills by turning technical data into clear business intelligence. We test the required 1.5°C and 3°C scenarios and identify risks like carbon pricing to ensure your disclosures meet ISSB and TCFD standards. Contact us today to see how quantitative climate resilience modelling can strengthen your business.

Frequently Asked Questions

The new Australian mandatory climate reporting standards require companies to test their resilience against multiple climate scenarios. Our process is designed to meet these specific requirements, providing the technical data and disclosures you need for mandatory reporting.

Physical risks are direct threats from the environment, like bushfires, storms, flood damage or extreme heat impacting site safety. Transition risks are business risks caused by the move to a low-carbon economy, such as new carbon taxes, building codes, or shifts in consumer demand.

Yes, you still need a plan even if you fall below the mandatory reporting thresholds. Your larger partners and clients likely need your data to complete their own Scope 3 reports and risk assessments. Building these considerations into your daily decisions helps you stay competitive and reduces the risk of being dropped from supply chains that prioritise climate-ready partners.

While the 1.5°C and 3°C paths are standard, they don't always capture the specific shifts in your niche. A custom scenario allows us to test for the exact policy or market changes that matter most to your sector and strategy.

Scenario analysis is the backbone of a credible ESG strategy. It shows that your environmental goals are backed by hard data and that you understand risks, opportunities, and financial implications of your sustainability commitments.

Case Studies

Climate & ESG in Action

Explore our case studies showing how our ESG, climate and sustainability solutions deliver impact across industries, scales and stages of maturity—from readiness and reporting through to delivery and capability‑building.
Our Solutions

Simplifying Complexity. Amplifying Impact

ESG isn’t one-size-fits-all.
Our solutions are practical, tailored, and designed to meet you where you are. Each service follows a structured approach so you know exactly what to expect and what comes next.

Start the conversation

Connect with our ESG and climate advisory team to explore practical solutions that fit where you’re at.

"*" indicates required fields

Subscribe for FREE sustainability tips and insights

Acumentis acknowledges the Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn and work and their connections to land, sea and community throughout Australia.
We pay our respect to their Elders past, present and emerging and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people we work with and walk beside today.

© Copyright 2026 Acumentis
Privacy Policy Terms & Conditions
Melbourne Wordpress Developers